Analysis of rational supply and demand of water resources in Turpan area in the coordination mode
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Abstract:
System dynamics is based on the system theory. It can incorporate the water use sub-system and water supply sub-system into the water resources supply and demand system, and can be used to analyze the influence of the factors in each subsystem on the overall system. The system dynamics software Stella can predict the development trend of water supply and demand through scenario simulation. Turpan water resources supply and demand system model was constructed using the system dynamics method based on the actual situation of Turpan social economic development and ecological water demand. Four different scenarios were set to simulate the variation trend of water resources supply and demand in Turpan area in 2013-2030. Then analysis was conducted on the balance of water resources supply and demand in the region. Research results showed that in order to achieve optimal use of water resources to ensure sustainable development of Turpan area, we must intensify water conservancy construction, increase investment in water conservancy, further implement water-saving measures, and use water resources smartly and reasonably.
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